Missed opportunity for a lead directing double in B122 of match240310-_WBridge5_v_ben0308p5dd

[ThePokerDude]

Double at 3c should have positive ev

[ThePokerDude]

[Event ""]
[Site ""]
[Date ""]
[Board "122"]
[Dealer "E"]
[Vulnerable "All"]
[Deal "E:98.Q43.62.AJT985 A73.AK2.AKJ.K763 KJT2.T65.9853.42 Q654.J987.QT74.Q"]
[Scoring ""]
[BCFlags "1f"]
[Generator "BridgeComposer Version 5.104.1"]
[South "WBridge5"]
[West "ben0308p5dd"]
[North "WBridge5"]
[East "ben0308p5dd"]
[Declarer "S"]
[Contract "3NT"]
[Result "9"]
{PAR of the deal: 4NT = played by North: 630 points}
{PAR computation time: 00'02"}
{Feasability: 7 10 10 10 10 6 3 3 3 3 7 10 10 10 10 6 3 3 3 3 }
[Auction "E"]
Pass 2C Pass 2D
Pass 2NT Pass 3C
Pass 3D Pass 3NT
Pass Pass Pass
[Play "W"]
D3 d4 D2 da
H6 h7 H4 ha
D5 d7 D6 dk
H5 hj HQ h2
C2 cq CA c3
C4 s4 CJ c7
HT h8 H3 hk
D9 dq C5 dj
S2 h9 S9 s3
D8 dt S8 c6
ST s5 C8 s7
SK s6 CT sa
SJ sq C9 ck

[ThePokerDude]

BBA suggests X

[ThorvaldAagaard]

BEN also consider it

So here the simulation kicks in and BEN Pass.

Perhaps it is bad samples, but here are the samples

One problem here is that double dummy partner will lead a club, so why double, and risk they find a 4-3 major fit

[ThorvaldAagaard]

EdwardPiwowar/BBA#367