Analyses

###What is this?###

Here's a list of proposed hypotheses and descriptive analyses to be carried out by the cega-trace team:

Descriptive Analyses

• Publication counts (by year, author/institution)
• Citation counts (by year, author/institution) for a given set of publications
• Direction of citations, co-citation networks
• Mapping publications and citations ("citing articles"):
  • Geographic dispersion: country of study, author/institution origin - do this both for original publications and citing articles
  • Sub-topic maps: CT studies focused on gender, schooling, health outcomes, etc. Again, for original publications and citations

Hypothesis testing

• Citation networks: density of citations - are there a few "star" authors or publications that dominate the citations data set?
• Time series analysis: temporal correlations between original publications, citations, and CT investments ("projects")
  • Is the volume of research related to the support for the CCT (tracked by activity-level aiddata from 1997 to now or/and total national budget towards CCT), controlling for possible confounding factors?
  • Link a map of CCT from 1997-2008 by country (program expansion) with incremental program budgets on CCT - Aid to support cash transfers (using aid data from 1997 to now)
• Does the expansion of countries adopting CCT correspond to the expansion of academic work covering the CCT implementing countries? Which one comes first? (e.g., Relate a map of CCT from 1997-2008 (program expansion) with a map of research across countries)
  • Strong/weak co-authorship patterns between academic researchers and the WB staff (policy makers)